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内容简介:
The degree to which markets incorporate information is one of
the most important questions facing economists today. This book
provides a fascinating study of the existence and extent of
information efficiency in financial markets, with a special focus
on betting markets. Betting markets are selected for study because
they incorporate features highly appropriate to a study of
information efficiency, in particular the fact that each bet has a
well-defined end point at which its value becomes certain. Using
international examples, this book reviews and analyses the issue of
information efficiency in both financial and betting markets. Part
I is an extensive survey of the existing literature, while Part II
presents a range of readings by leading academics. Insights gained
from the book will interest students of financial economics,
financial market analysts, mathematicians and statisticians, and
all those with a special interest in finance or gambling.
书籍目录:
List of figures
List of tables
List of contributors
Introduction
Part I: The Concept of Information Efficiency:
1. Information efficiency in financial markets Leighton Vaughan
Williams
2. Weak form information efficiency in betting markets Leighton
Vaughan Williams
3. Semi-strong and strong form information efficiency in betting
markets Leighton Vaughan Williams
Part II. Selected Readings:
4. An assessment of quasi-arbitrage opportunities in two fixed-odds
horse-race betting markets Michael A. Smith, David Paton and
Leighton Vaughan Williams
5. The presence of favourites and biases in bookmakers' odds
William Collier and John Peirson
6. Searching for semi-strong form inefficiency in the UK racetrack
betting market Ming-Chien Sung, Johnnie E. V. Johnson and Alistair
C. Bruce
7. Models, markets, polls and pundits: a case study of information
efficiency Leighton Vaughan Williams
8. Longshot bias: insights from the betting market on men's
professional tennis David Forrest and Ian McHale
9. Biases and insider trading in exotic bets on thoroughbreds Les
Coleman and Martin McGrath
10. On the improbability of information efficient parimutuel
betting markets in the presence of heterogeneous beliefs William
Hurley and Lawrence McDonough
11. Modelling gambling demand in a laboratory casino: discovering
the importance of individual-specific effects W. David Walls and
Patrick J. Harvey
12. Market efficiency of the 50–30–20–10 horse-racing spread
betting market Paul M. Twomey
13. Insider trading and bias in a market for state-contingent
claims Adi Schnytzer and Yuval Shilony
14. Rationality and efficiency in lotto games Victor A. Matheson
and Kent R. Grote
15. Efficiency of the odds on English professional football matches
David Forrest and Robert Simmons
16. Modelling distance preference in flat racing via average
velocity David Edelman
17. Testing for market efficiency in gambling markets: some
observations and new statistical tests based on a bootstrap method
Ivan A. Paya, David A. Peel, David Law and John Peirson
18. Information (in)efficiency in prediction markets Erik Snowberg,
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Index.
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编辑推荐
A most extensive survey of the literature on information
efficiency ? Focuses on betting markets as well as financial
markets ? Wide disciplinary appeal - finance, economics, public
policy and mathematics
书籍介绍
This survey of the theory and practice of gambling uses examples from an international range of sports betting markets. Gambling markets offer economists a fascinating case study of how information efficiency operates in a market. Insights gained from gambling interest many: governments (who tax gamblers), financial market analysts (who gamble on the financial markets), and, lastly, mathematicians (who analyze the puzzle of gambling).
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