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Currency Strategy, Second Edition develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuations in the currency markets. Author Callum Henderson shows readers ho to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully.

Given there such huge focus on China at the moment, the timing of this new edition is particularly important. The new edition will feature a thorough update on the key developments in the past 3 years, new chapters on emerging markets, an in-depth review of the markets of China and India and their currencies and much more.

Preface to the Second Edition

Acknowledgements

About the Author

Introduction

PART ONE: THEORY AND PRACTICE

　1 Fundamental Analysis: The Strengths and Weaknesses of Traditional Exchange Rate Models

　　1.1 Purchasing Power Parity

　　1.2 The Monetary Approach

　　1.3 The Interest Rate Approach

　　1.4 The Balance of Payments Approach

　　1.5 The Portfolio Balance Approach

　　1.6 Summary

　2 Currency Economics: A More Focused Framework

　　2.1 Currencies are Different

　　2.2 Currency Economics

　　2.3 Summary

　3 Flow: Tracking the Animal Spirits

　　3.1 Some Examples of Flow Models

　　3.2 Speculative and Non-Speculative Flows

　　3.3 Summary

　4 Technical Analysis: The Art of Charting

　　4.1 Origins and Basic Concepts

　　4.2 The Challenge of Technical Analysis

　　4.3 The Art of Charting

　　4.4 Schools of (Technical) Thought

　　4.5 Technical Analysis and Currency Market Practitioners

PART TWO: REGIMES AND CRISES

　5 Exchange Rate Regimes: Fixed or Floating?

　　5.1 An Emerging World

　　5.2 A Brief History of Emerging Market Exchange Rates

　　5.3 Fixed and Pegged Exchange Rate Regimes

　　5.4 Exchange Rate Regime Sustainability – A Bi-Polar World?

　　5.5 The Realworld Relevance of the Exchange Rate Regime

　　5.6 Summary

　6 Model Analysis: Can Currency Crises be Predicted?

　　6.1 A Model for Pegged Exchange Rates

　　6.2 A Model for Freely Floating Exchange Rates

　　6.3 Summary

PART THREE: THE REAL WORLD OF THE CURRENCY MARKET PRACTITIONER

　7 Managing Currency Risk I – The Corporation: Advanced Approaches to Corporate Treasury FX Strategy

　8 Managing Currency Risk II – The Investor: Currency Exposure within the Investment Decision

　9 Managing Currency Risk III – The Speculator: Myths, Realities and How to be a Better Currency Speculator

　10 Applying the Framework

　11 EmergingWorld: New Growth Markets for Global FX

Conclusion

Index

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作者简介：

　　CALLUM HENDERSON is Head of FX Strategy for a leading international bank, based in Singapore. A wide-quoted authority of both emerging and currency markets, Mr Henderson has spent the past 16 years in the financial markets in various capacities and has written articles for many leading financial journals and given seminars around the world on global currency markets.

Mr Henderson is the author of three previous books covering the Asian economic story: the bestseller Asia Falling, China on the Brink (awarded Best Business Book of 1999 by the Library Journal of the US) and Asian Dawn.

书籍介绍

Currency Strategy, Second Edition develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuations in the currency markets. Author Callum Henderson shows readers ho to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully. Given there such huge focus on China at the moment, the timing of this new edition is particularly important. The new edition will feature a thorough update on the key developments in the past 3 years, new chapters on emerging markets, an in-depth review of the markets of China and India and their currencies and much more.