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　　Do economics and statistics succeed in explaining human social

behaviour? To answer this question. Leland Gerson Neuberg studies

some pioneering controlled social experiments. Starting in the late

1960s, economists and statisticians sought to improve social policy

formation with random assignment experiments such as those that

provided income guarantees in the form of a negative income tax.

This book explores anomalies in the conceptual basis of such

experiments and in the foundations of statistics and economics more

generally. Scientific inquiry always faces certain philosophical

problems. Controlled experiments of human social behaviour,

however, cannot avoid some methodological difficulties not evident

in physical science experiments. Drawing upon several examples, the

author argues that methodological anomalies prevent microeconomics

and statistics from explaining human social behaviour as coherently

as the physical sciences explain nature. He concludes that

controlled social experiments are a frequently overrated tool for

social policy improvement.

Preface

Introduction

Part I. Statistical Logics

1. J. S. Mill and some philosophical underpinnings of controlled

experimentation;

2. R. A. Fisher, randomization, and controlled

experimentation

3. Some special difficulties of controlled social experiments

4. Hume's problem of induction in modern statistical inference and

controlled experimentation

Part II. Economic Logics

5. Problems with a rationalist account of classical mechanics

6. Microeconomics striving to be a classical-mechanics-like

science

7. The income maintenance experiments: microeconomic science or

scientism?

8. Microeconomics striving to be deontology

Conclusion

Appendix

References

Symbols and abbreviations

Index

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